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Protected Connected Index

Authors: Jory Griffith, Guillaume Larocque, Laetitia Tremblay, Jean-Michel Lord

Review status: Reviewed

Reviewed by: Santiago Saura, Oscar Godinez-Gomez, Camilo Andreas Correa Ayram, Teresa Goicolea

name: Protected Connected Index (ProtConn)

description:

Introduction

The Protected Connected Index (ProtConn) is a key indicator within the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) to assess progress toward Goal A and Target 3, which aims to protect 30% of the planet through well-connected networks by 2030. ProtConn quantifies the percentage of a country or region where protected areas are effectively connected, allowing for species movement and ecological flow.

ProtConn measures how well a region is protected and connected (Saura et al. 2017, 2018). ProtConn is calculated by evaluating the spatial arrangement of protected areas to determine how easily species can move between them across a landscape. It treats protected areas as "nodes" and potential movement between them as "links", measuring the probability that a species with a given dispersal distance will be able to travel between protected areas. This probability is calculated between the nearest edges of adjacent protected areas using a negative exponential dispersal kernel, where the input dispersal distance is the median (that is, where dispersal probability is 0.5). The final ProtConn value is expressed as a percentage of the total study area, partitioned into percentages that account for connectivity within PAs, between different PAs, and across international borders. To learn more about the ProtConn method, see Saura et al. 2017, 2018, and 2019.

The pipeline uses the ‘Makurhini’ package (Godinez-Gomez et al. 2026) to calculate ProtConn metrics. The pipeline can be run with data from the World Database of Protected Areas (UNEP-WCMC and IUCN 2026) pulled for a specific country or region within the pipeline, custom shapefiles of protected areas uploaded by the user, or a combination of both. This allows users to evaluate ProtConn both currently and with the addition of proposed future protected areas. ProtConn can be calculated at the country or region level.

Uses

ProtConn can be used to assess current progress toward Goal A and Target 3 of the GBF. The pipeline can also be used to compare the connectedness of different proposed protected areas, assisting with planning and design. The pipeline can be run with a combination of current protected areas from WDPA and user-input polygons of proposed protected area sites, allowing users to evaluate different plans for protected area expansion.

Pipeline limitations

Before you start

No API keys are needed to run this pipeline.

If you would like to run the pipeline with a custom polygon for your study area, input your file path starting from the user data folder into the "polygon of study area" input box.

If you would like to run the pipeline with a combination of custom protected area polygons and WDPA data, ensure your data is in GeoPackage format and input the file path into the "polygon of protected areas" input.

If you want to run the analysis with custom protected area data only, please use the ProtConn Analysis with custom PAs pipeline.

Running the pipeline

Pipeline inputs

BON in a Box contains a pipeline to calculate ProtConn for a given country or region of interest. The pipeline has the following user inputs:

Pipeline steps

1. Getting protected areas from World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA)

This step retrieves protected areas in the country/region of interest from the WDPA database using the WDPA API. (This step is skipped if you are only using custom PA data.)

2. Getting the polygon of the area of interest

This step returns the polygon for the country/region/area of interest. If a country/region was selected, it pulls the country/region polygon using Fieldmaps and outputs it as a GeoPackage projected in the CRS of interest. If the user inputs a custom bounding box, it returns a polygon made from that bounding box.

3. Cleaning the protected areas data

This step cleans the data retrieved from the WDPA by correcting any geometry issues and filtering by the desired inputs. This step also crops the protected areas by the study area (this step is skipped if you are only using custom PA data).

4. Performing the ProtConn analysis

This step performs the ProtConn analysis on the protected areas of interest. ProtConn is calculated by creating a pairwise matrix of the distances between the closest edges of each protected area. Then, it calculates the probability of a species dispersing between these protected areas using a negative exponential dispersal kernel with the input distance assigned to a probability of 0.5. This means that if the protected areas are very near one another, there is a high probability that species will be able to disperse between them, but this probability decays exponentially with increasing distance. Different dispersal distances can be specified based on the species of interest, as very small species such as rodents cannot disperse as far as large mammals such as deer, so the connectedness would not be the same for those groups. Then, the dispersal probability between each pair of protected areas is multiplied by the area of the protected areas, and the result of this product is summed for all pairs and divided by the area of the study area.

Pipeline

Example

Sample run:

Example of a pipeline run with WDPA data: [insert link]

Example of a pipeline run with user data: [insert link]

Example of a pipeline run with both user data and WDPA data: [insert link]

Troubleshooting

Common errors:

References

Godínez-Gómez, O., Correa Ayram, C.A., Goicolea, T., Saura, S. 2026. Makurhini: An R package for comprehensive analysis of landscape fragmentation and connectivity. Environmental Modelling & Software. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106981.

Saura, Santiago, Lucy Bastin, Luca Battistella, Andrea Mandrici, and Grégoire Dubois. 2017. “Protected Areas in the World’s Ecoregions: How Well Connected Are They?” Ecological Indicators 76:144–58. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.12.047.

Saura, Santiago, Bastian Bertzky, Lucy Bastin, Luca Battistella, Andrea Mandrici, and Grégoire Dubois. 2018. “Protected Area Connectivity: Shortfalls in Global Targets and Country-Level Priorities.” Biological Conservation 219:53–67. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2017.12.020.

Saura, Santiago, Bastian Bertzky, Lucy Bastin, Luca Battistella, Andrea Mandrici, and Grégoire Dubois. 2019. “Global Trends in Protected Area Connectivity from 2010 to 2018.” Biological Conservation 238:108183. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2019.07.028.

UNEP-WCMC and IUCN (2026), Protected Planet: The World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA), Cambridge, UK: UNEP-WCMC and IUCN.